Patrick Reed (2.051 sg:total) I didnt even want to hit balls on Monday here, or Tuesday I dont know which day it was, Monday because it was so windy and I was hitting it bad. He's top-15 in all the same stats that I listed above for Morikawa. The last time we saw Southern Hills host a major championship was the PGA Championship in 2007, which Tiger Woods won at -8. However, the general consensus is Many trees have been removed from the course, and the thick rough both off of the fairways and off of the green complexes have been mowed down. 13th - proximity over the last 36 rounds played It was simple, rhythmic and perfectly balanced. Seamus Power (1.091 sg:wind vs. 0.664 sg:total) LUCAS GLOVER: I dont mind it. Scheffler managed to win in 2022 with only two rounds under par, logging a five-under-par as his winning score, beating Viktor Hovland, Billy Horschel, and Tyrell Hatton by one stroke. Rickie Fowler (2.356 sg:total) For large-field tournaments, you can utilize ourLineup Optimizer to effortlessly create up to 150 lineups, or use our Lineup Builder if you like to hand-build your lineups. However, one of the nuggets I came across online this week is The Renaissance Club has averaged a 73% GIR clip over the last three years at this event. Ive only been around it once now, but very much demanding of the tee ball. This can be in a multitude of ways (off-the-tee, approach, tee-to-green, putting, total etc.) A nagging back injury has kept us from seeing more of Will Zalatoris but that doesnt mean he wont be prepared for a run at an outright win. ROBERT GARRIGUS: You know, its attitude and playing in wind a lot. The Arnold Palmer Invitational gets underway Thursday from Bay Hill Club & Lodge as were set to provide two PGA Tour predictions for the event. SG values are adjusted at the hole-level . I enjoy it, Patrick does, too. Woodland's short game and putting . Experience in strong fields, experience on difficult courses, experience in Florida, and experience in windy conditions are all positives. CAMERON SMITH: Im from Australia. Rahm has the most strokes gained (2.19) on coastal courses on the . Do you prefer the wind? Gary Woodland (2.015 sg:total) What are your thoughts playing out here in the gusts? Jamie Lovemark (1.931 sg:wind vs. 1.285 sg:total) So I dont really know what to do on them. Great to finish the day like that. Number of "great" shots in the round, where a great shot is defined as the top 5% of strokes-gained values in each category. Once the wind begins to hit 30 mph, only the best golfers will be able to navigate the course and achieve a decent score. (Ryan Kang/AP). Copyright 2010- FantasyPros.com The baseline average to hole out from your new position in the fairway is now 2.91. Grew up in Oklahoma, live in Florida now, its windy every day, so and its kind of what Im used to. Was able to win there. . Any chance we can get an update before the windy Masters? Notorious: SG: Approach STLCardinals84: SG: Approach / Bogey Avoidance redkacheek: wGIR+ hondizzle: SG: Approach. I enjoy playing in it, which is helpful. Grillo 8. That concern is slightly quelled by the fact McIlroy has gained strokes putting in three of his past five starts at this course. -2018 CC of Jackson. San Antonio, Bob Hope, the year I won, it was blowing a ton that final round. Within the 50-round model, Zalatoris sits 10th on approach, 10th in opportunities gained and 16th in bogey avoidance. There is no definitive answer to the question of how much of an advantage Strokes Gained can provide in windy conditions. 21st - strokes gained off the tee over the last 24 rounds played. Brooks Koepka (2.031 sg:total) Just hoping we can get a refresh on all the relevant sheets for the USO. SG values are adjusted at the hole-level . Cantlay 9. Homa is a player with very few weaknesses in his game right now, ranking third in total strokes gained, 18th in total driving, and eighth in scrambling. He also finished T-28 in the Sony Open in January with elite putting in windy conditions. I have two final notes before we get into the picks. Arnold Palmer Invitational Sleepers Talor Gooch and Peter Uihlein fired matching 66s on Saturday to supplant the leaders after 36 holes at LIV Golf Mayakoba in Playa del Carmen . By Colby . There is no definitive answer to this question as it largely depends on the individual golfer and their own unique playing style. I didnt quite think it was going to be up to kind of 25 mile an hour wind. Obviously it can get windy in Perth. Unless otherwise noted, strokes gained stats are taken from the player's last 50 rounds and are a way to use golf statistics relative to the field and round played. -2017 OHL Classic, Q. JT 4. Ive had no success at the British Open. Thanks in advance. PATRICK REED: I am from Texas. He is also a great putter. Bud Cauley (0.964 sg:wind vs. 1.37 sg:total) I have to unlock them manually. The former are generally easier to hit because of the perimeter weighting and deep, low center of gravity, while the latter are favored by better players because of the increased workability. Does Anti-specialist mean they are bad wind players? Im kind of used to South Florida winds here. The one worry with the four-time major winner is the putter. But yeah, its nice to be able to come back and adapt. Links course player it would seem. Like I said, it seems like a fun layout. This means that the players average score is 100 and their Handicap is 14. their 23 strokes would be given to them based on the difficulty of the course. Hes reached 100 points on FanDuel in three of his past four events, so dont sleep on Mitchells upside entering Bay Hill, where hes previously finished T61, T43, T5, and T6. Previous finishes of T38 and T10 should make you comfortable that Zalatoris will be more of an asset than a liability in DraftKings lineups this weekend. PATRICK REED: I am from Texas. Stay away from difficult underfoot conditions or exposed edges and get off the hill as soon as possible. So, striping your drive 260 down the middle gains you 0.14 strokes. This stat measures the quality of a players iron play approaching the green. Switching gears, how do you prepare for the windy conditions here in Texas and is there a particular shot you focused on? Even with the poor play of late, his ball-striking rates out very well in my model this week. I like the wind. He's coming off a strong week at Riviera (T9) and a good showing last year at Bay Hill (T5). Distance is a big part of wind performance in the long term. Branden Grace (1.168 sg:wind vs. 1.511 sg:total) -2018 TOC, Q. Weve talked about this about three thousand times, but just for the benefit of this time in explaining to others, you grew up in the wind, talk us through what sort of things you had to deal with to get to this point of talent in this sort of breeze. Oklahoma golf is also known to get extremely windy, and its a safe assumption that wind will play a major factor this week. When you go back to midsummer and what youve been able to do since midsummer last year and into the fall and now this week, has anything changed, or is it just a matter of your games coming together? Ive lived here the last eight years, so gotten a little more familiar with it and definitely moving to Jupiter has helped me. Also, we saw a very good display of putting for 3 of the 4 days at The Country Club. Wesley Bryan (-0.48 sg:wind vs. 0.336 sg:total) DFS GPP Pivot Plays | Genesis Scottish Open 2022, Results from the John Deere Classic Pivot Point, DraftKings GPP Pivot Plays for the 2022 Genesis Scottish Open. It comes down to certainly patience and perseverance but I think also just trust in what youre doing. Strokes Gained: Approach: Feels like I include this stat almost every week, but this golf course is built for great iron players to thrive. The 32-year-old Englishman has logged previous finishes of T20, T10, MC, and T3 at Bay Hill, so hes about as solid as they come, especially at this reduced salary on FanDuel. I feel like a decent wind player so thats kind of always an issue at this course it seems like. Youre having a laugh! A powerful driver and red-hot putter will keep Burns churning out production in DFS lineups, although it may be a bit of a slow start during the opening round on Thursday. Youd think if I was a great wind player, Id have some success over there and I havent had any. While throwing blades of grass up into the air may be the classic way of determining wind, it is not always accurate. Patrick Cantlay (2.49 sg:total) Weather radar, wind and waves forecast for kiters, surfers, paragliders, pilots, sailors and anyone else. Won the 2022 Qatar Masters in very windy conditions for his first DP World Tour title at 25-years-old. Jon Rahm (+700) is an unsurprising favorite with 2022 champion Scottie Scheffler and Rory McIlroy both at +950. Have a wonderful evening! Frankly, I just believe this is one of the cheaper prices, and lowest ownerships we'll see Hovland at for a long time, and it's well worth the risk to me. Strokes Gained Approach-The-Green (SGAPR) The 26-year-old native of Louisiana missed the cut at Genesis but hes been solid at Bay Hill, logging previous finishes of T9, MC, T36, T54, and T49. Paul Casey (2.393 sg:total) Lets start by focusing on past winners, a few relevant betting stats, and the course layout before we dive into my recommended plays at the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational. I think its growing up in it, it certainly helps and I feel like Im suited pretty well. DANNY WILLETT: We obviously played a lot of links golf growing up, but I think the more years youre on Tour, the less you actually play in these type conditions. Some guys out here say they dont mind playing in the wind or they actually think its an advantage. The temperature not quite, its normally a lot hotter than this at home. Ryan Blaum (0.288 sg:wind vs. 0.715 sg:total) Francesco Molinari (1.436 sg:wind vs. 2.034 sg:total) It goes a notch further and compares the player's performance to a set benchmark. J.T. Lanto Griffin ($8,200) | MC (Wind vs. Expected Strokes Gained) -2015 PGA National, Q. Sergio, youve always been a particularly good wind player. However, the general consensus is that it can give golfers a significant edge, especially if they are able to control their ball flight. Let's talk stats. 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Tiger Woods (1.696 sg:wind vs. 2.376 sg:total) Places with no wind, where its just driving range shots, its just never been something Ive been used to. Marc Leishman: I grew up in it. Ive played well, but Ive also played horrible in the wind. When he plays four rounds, he's playing them well. In besting Matthew Wolff by six strokes and carding a final round 67 at Winged Foot last Sunday, the "Incredible Bulk" logged the fourth most strokes gained in a U.S Open final round at 7.9. Whenever Im playing good and the golf swings there, obviously the ball doesnt get touched by the wind as much as other players that spin it a little bit more. Hi Josh can you please update this report, the Cold weather report, and the fast greens report? You have to make sure trying to hit the fairways. Dustin Johnson (3.06 sg:total) Disclaimer: The views, opinions, and commentary in this post belong to its author and do not necessarily represent the Tour Junkies as a whole. Hey sorry to be a pest Josh, but could you also refresh your HOT WEATHER page as well? McIIroy 5. -2018 Masters. METAR, TAF and NOTAMs for any airport in the World. Can you please refresh your Performance in Cold Weather sheet? Another is quantifying performance under pressure, a topic . Wind Anti-Specialists Matthew MacKay is a featured writer for FantasyPros. That goes for using launch monitors to create optimal launch conditions, . Copyright 2022 Green Valley Ccofri, All rights reserved. When I went to A&M we played in very tough conditions a lot, so I love the wind. -2018 TPC San Antonio (Valero), GRAYSON MURRAY: Im a lot more comfortable in the wind. Tony Finau 8. That was part of the reason why I went to Texas. Some of the guys would play in it anyway to prep for The Open; but for the most part, these numbers are populated with European Tour players. So if you hit a 5-yard cut, its going to be probably a 10-yard cut into the wind. Do you consider yourself a natural wind player? Shawn Stefani (1.133 sg:wind vs. 0.784 sg:total) Strokes Gained: Off-the-Tee -- added this year because of the wind Strokes Gained: Approach/Greens in Regulation/Approaches from 200+ yards . Tiger Woods is expected to play, Phil Mickelson is not. hi josh can you please update this report? If Hovland doesn't have to chip as much, he'll be in contention. Henrik Stenson and Soren Kjeldsen are both poor in the wind?.Well, I am surprised and confused! Pingback: AT&T Byron Nelson Fantasy Preview, Hi Josh Adam Scott (2.015 sg:total) Im sure the driving is a big part of that. Strokes Gained Performance in the Wind The Fantasy Golfanac considers windy rounds to be any round where the average wind is at least 14 mph for the day. Im not really sure why. One area he has in mind is strokes-gained categories that account for factors such as wind, turf conditions and the contours of a shot. What Would It Cost the Raiders to Move Up to No. Mitchell plays his best on Bermuda grass and in the wind, and he's in top form coming off a T-5 finish at the Genesis Invitational last time out. Something to do with the image requirements to publish each post. Leaderboard Watch News FedExCup Schedule Players Stats Golfbet More PGA TOUR PGA TOUR Champions Korn Ferry Tour PGA TOUR Canada PGA TOUR Latinoamrica LPGA TOUR DP World Tour PGA TOUR University. Would like to see that for this week with temps in the 80s. Strokes Gained: Putting (Bermuda and Lightning) A major reason Bay Hill plays as one of the most difficult courses on TOUR is the incredibly fast greens. DeChambeau 5. SHANE LOWRY: Yeah, like people say, oh, you must love this weather when youre over here, but I dont like it at all, but I know how to do it. Nine under to start the day, Stallings was five strokes behind Scheffler when his afternoon began to improve. -2017 Puerto Rico, Q. This site is amazing! 2. Burns has improved almost every single time when competing at the API and hes well-rested entering Thursdays opening round. Wind page is now updated. Obviously with a good ball striking day, the windier it gets, the better. Like you said, I do like playing in the wind. It doesnt look like they have a golf premium service like they do MLB and the NFL. Including this statistic will elevate the golfers who have done their best work on similar greens. Is there just something about starting the year that youre fresh? So, I dont trust it but I like it. looks like temps will remain under 70 degrees all four days. There is no one definitive answer to this question. Tommy Fleetwood: $9,600 We know the prowess with the irons. -2017 Valero, Q. Curtis, how do you prepare for the windy conditions in Texas and are there any types of shots that you focus on? I was like thats just going to make me frustrated. Which golfers play best in windy conditions? Wind gusts are going to make for tough conditions. He's too good. Will Zalatoris. On the other hand, if you missed, you are half a shot worse than the field, which is -0.5 strokes gained. It played as the third hardest course on the PGA Tour schedule, including the majors. Looks like conditions suit me. Owned and designed in the vision of the iconic late golfer Arnold Palmer, Bay Hill has its share of water hazards, sand bunkers, and doglegged fairways that will punish errant tee shots and approach shots. We also know that slow greens (The Renaissance Club will run about a 10 on the stimp) will hide a lot of the flaws of the poor putters. The strokes-gained cutoffs by category are OTT: 0.3, APP: 0.55, ARG: 0.55, PUTT: 0.65. Make sure you are aware of this and allow for it when you are next on the course. Im just showing the data. Over the three tournaments he's gained an average of 10.5 strokes gained-total per start. His around the green game is so horrifically bad that it's hard to play him at most venues. Wind isn't typically a factor in Scottsdale, and the difficult conditions caught the Las Vegas resident . He flashed at the U.S. Open before falling off on Saturday. Positive or negative score means how much a player has improved or worsened their game in a particular area. Your email address will not be published. Its one of the longer courses on the PGA Tour and while it has a couple more par 5 holes than what we saw at PGA National during the 2023 Honda Classic last weekend, dont let appearances fool you. Do you feel like youre a good wind player? ZACH JOHNSON: Yeah, Ive always, I guess, thrived on wind. Popped up again on the big stage in Phoenix, and has had plenty of success in the state of Florida. Tommy Fleetwood (2.461 sg:total)