Thoughts on who wouldve won this seat based on the state election figures? Filling vacancy: Diana Adams appointed to West Melbourne City Council, replacing Daniel Batcheldor, Police chief vacancy: West Melbourne names eight finalists to replace retired police chief Richard Wiley, City manager change: West Melbourne may hire Tim Rhode as city manager; Daniel Batcheldor to leave City Council. Steph Hodgins-May did so much better than I expected. As in 2019 the Green candidate will be Steph Hodgins-May, the new Liberal candidate Christopher Ride. The AEC acknowledges the Traditional Owners of country throughout Australia and recognises their continuing connection to land, waters, culture and community. Holding served in the Hawke ministry from 1983 until the 1990 election, and served as a backbencher until his retirement in 1998. Ultimately it will come down to the mix of late and early pre-E-Day voting. Port Melbourne Candidate jobs now available in Melbourne VIC. Born and raised in Caulfield, Burns is the grandson of Jewish migrants who left Europe and settled in Melbourne in search of a safe place to raise their families. My prediction here is that the Greens will probably fall *just* short of knocking Labor out of second place, because just too much has to go right for them with such a small margin of error for it to happen. Liberal 30.69% 4. McCathie was born and bred in Melbourne and has a background in I.T. After attending Mount Scopus College, Josh graduated from Monash University with a Bachelor of Arts, majoring in Political Studies. Shifts east losing Kensington to Maribyrnong in the west while gaining Clifton Hill from Cooper in the east, and a part of Brunswick East from Wills. Schultz is an Elwood local and long been a passionate advocate for social and environmental change and is campaigning for change to agricultural practices, for both animal protection and to combat the effects of climate change. Canadian airline coming: Sunwing Airlines to launch service from Melbourne to three Canadian cities in December, New police headquarters: Melbourne leaders dedicate $32 million police headquarters to force's lone fallen officer, Occupation:Realtor, private investigator, process server, notary, Education:Course study of sociology, with a concentration in forensic psychology, at Massachusetts College of Liberal Arts, Political/government/civic experience:911 dispatcher; Space Coast Young Republicans; NAACP Legal Redress Team; attends Melbourne Police Community Relations Council meetings; 18th District process server, Campaign email:rachael4melbourne@gmail.com, Website, Facebook, other social media pages/links:rachael4melbourne.com;Facebook: Rachael Bassett for Melbourne City Council. Support local journalism. This information is provided for illustrative purposes. Immediately below is the video of the event. Continue exploring need and feasibility of West Melbourne building a fire department. Please enable scripts and reload this page. Melbourne:2022 elections: Meet the six candidates running for three Melbourne City Council seats; [1] It also had a large gay and lesbian community. 2018 Mayoral Election: A Meet the Candidates was held at Boyd Community Hub on Thursday, 26th April, 2018. Subscribe today. Listing of Victorian Ports Corporation (Melbourne) Notices to Mariners for the current calendar year and those in force at 1 January of the current year. 1422 are remaining and they are breaking 24.8% LIB, 27.9% ALP, 34.2% GRN, 13.2% Other. The only things saving Josh Burns here today are the cratering Liberal vote and, most importantly of all, the perfect little gerrymander with Higgins. Melbourne Ports) Sonya Semmens Federal Candidate for Higgins Tim Hollo Candidate for Canberra Celeste Liddle Federal Candidate for Cooper Piers Mitchem Federal Candidate for Kooyong Rachael Jacobs Candidate for Grayndler Charlotte McCabe Candidate for Newcastle As shown by the plot of first preference vote, the Greens have replaced Labor as the major left party in the electorate of Melbourne. Tel: +61 3 8347 8300 (My prediction is around 33.5% LIB, 33.3% ALP, 33.2% GRN). Mathews held Melbourne Ports for a quarter of a century, retiring in 1931. Regional Victorian ports - follow this link . Labor need the remaining votes to actually break stronger for them compared to the Libs than they have, to get in front of them. These are the two issues that I plan to be talking about, Young said. I don't have a top three issues. I also support a public/private partnership between government and private enterprise to create a network of community land trusts throughout the county to provide long-term stewardship and conservation of open space and natural resources. Weds, 16th November with Georgie Dragwidge (Indep), Elizabeth Antunovic (Freedom Party) and Cassandra Westwood (Animal Justice Party). Occupation:Co-owner/operator at Chez Quans, Political/government/civic experience:None, Campaign email:adamformelbourne@gmail.com, Website, Facebook, other social media pages/links:Facebook:Adam Woodworth for Melbourne 2022. Under its former name, Melbourne Ports, this electorate had been held by the Labor Party since 1906. Had the 2013 election's 66% flow of Liberal preferences to Labor occurred in 2010, then Adam Bandt would not have won Melbourne. Assessment Macnamara has been under threat from the Liberal Party in the past, but its unlikely the Liberal Party could win in the current environment. ), meaning any 2CP combination is still possible. Locations and shipping agents' contact details, below. The seven-member City Council will have three contested seats on the November general election ballot: Districts 2, 4 and 6. Second, other electorates saw a drop in Green support and rise for Labor at the 2019 election where Green support rose further in Melbourne. This month, council members are voting on Melbourne's proposed$242 million total city budget for 2022-23, among other topics. Campaign Email: diana@dianaforcouncil.com, Campaign Facebook page: Facebook.com/DianaForWestMelbourne. This change slightly reduced the Labor margin from 6.2% to 6.1%. @ Bingo i was not trying to make a political point but when i said Greens underperformed in Albert Park. In Caulfield, the Liberal Party was far out ahead, while the Liberal Party narrowly outpolled Labor in Port Melbourne. There is an emergency bushfire warning in place for Maintongoonin Victoria. Globally the pollsters, in 2022, have been consistently overestimating social democratic support and underestimating Green support. This even includes the most recent batches of postal votes where the Greens outperformed Labor by 7% (after minor preferences). Twitter: @JDGallop. Education: Bachelor's degree in business administration in management and another bachelor's degree in business administration accounting and finance. Redistribution Loses Windsor to neighbouring Higgins. Labor would have still won since they still hold Albert Park by a 11% margin compared to the Libs 2% margin in Caufield though there was a 2% swing to the Libs in both seats against expectations the Lib vote would further collapse in that area like in the federal election. Adams also points to the importance of focusing on the towns infrastructure needs. Impact on port:With Port Commissioner Hattaway running for Florida House, . This due to running a more centrist campaign including accepting climate targets, not running on African Gangs etc. As our community continues its development, it is crucial to identify infrastructure and resources necessary to support responsible growth. Geography Inner south of Melbourne. For the latest information, searchABC Emergency, For the latestweather warnings in the Northern Territory, search onABC Emergency. Support for the Greens rose through the first decade of the twenty first century, polling 15.7% in 2001, 19.0% in 2004, 22.8% and finishing second after preferences in 2007, and 36.2% and achieving victory on Liberal preferences in 2010. These kinds of investments drive responsible growth, reduce traffic and support efficient response times for law enforcement and emergency services. Bandt was easily re-elected in 2016 and 2019 when Labor's vote slipped to third place behind the Liberal candidate. The only way that I cant see Labor winning here is if all the cards fall the right way for the Greens and that doesnt often happen. Pht sng trc tip trn u Green Gully Cavaliers U21 vs Port Melbourne Sharks SC U21 AUS VPL U21 trong khun kh gii VQG Jordan full HD tc cao vi bnh lun min ph ti Trc Tip Bng . But I agree with comments on this blog that both Bowes and Green have not called it for Labour, which does not mean that they believe Greens have it, just that it is too close to call. Macnamara was a medical researcher and doctor who discovered there was more than one type of the polio virus and worked extensively with children suffering from poliomyelitis, training doctors and physiotherapists in the management of the disease. Her best hope now is that the Liberals smash Labor in the postal votes but thats unlikely. Florida 2022 elections. The Greens are only 495 votes behind Labor in the 3CP count. The moderator was Bernadene Voss, a two-term Councillor and three-time Mayor in the City of Port Phillip. The LIB/ALP 2PP here will be Labors best since before Caulfield was in the seat and the Lib PV may be the lowest in 5-6 decades. Labor won a large 70.2% majority of the two-party-preferred vote in St Kilda, 55% in Caulfield and 57.5% in Port Melbourne. . Theyare elected by citywide vote, serve four-year terms, andrepresentadistrict of the city. And no matter what the result, considering the Greens are currently third on 32.93% and all the remaining votes should favour them, I think its safe to say all 3 candidates will finish between a minimum of 33.1% and a maximum of 33.6% when the 3CP count is complete. Consequently, sample ballots in different jurisdictions in the same state may not be . The retirement of long serving Labor MP Lindsay Tanner in 2010 produced a further switch in first preference support, the Greens finishing 1.9% short of Labor on first preferences and easily winning after being the recipient of 80% of Liberal preferences. Unlock unlimited digital access to floridatoday.com Click here and subscribe today. The Division of Melbourne Ports was an Australian federal electoral division in the inner south-eastern suburbs of Melbourne, Victoria, Australia. The departure of Danby in 2019 saw a boost in Labor vote, though whether this was a coincidence with of consequence of Danby's departure is impossible to say. Continue work on West Melbourne flooding issues. If reelected, I will continue to work closely with our partners to build upon the successes of the past fouryears. Because Antony Green knows way more (if it is true that he was going to call it). Council members also comprise three of the seven members of the. Daniel, the biggest problem for Labor at the moment is that their margin vs Liberals on how the current votes are breaking is smaller than the advantage the Liberals are getting over Labor on minor preferences. Second Issue: Economic development. Liberal vote recovered in parts of Caulfield which isnt good news for Labor holding onto Macnamara at the next election. Continuing the gradual downwards trend in the Labor primary vote, in the 2013 election, Labor was returned with a primary vote of less than 32 percent. The Greens candidate will again be Steph Hodgins-May, a lawyer who contested Ballarat in 2013, Melbourne Ports in 2016 and Macnamara in 2019. Currently [83.41% point] ALP lead Liberals by 4 420 and Greens by 3 873. [2] The new name was gazetted on 13 July 2018, and was first used at the 2019 federal election. Tree lined, nature strips, large houses, large schools, etc. Thoroughfares like Hotham and Glen Eira make better boundaries. 2019 Federal Election: A Meet the Candidates for the House of Representatives seat of Macnamara, formerly Melbourne Ports, . This article displays an image of an official 2022 sample ballot from Florida. Road improvements and joint cooperation with the state of Florida, Melbourne Airport and Brevard County to widen Ellis Road. Labor's state and federal executives did not adopt Danby's position. 3. 2016 Victorian Ports Corporation (Melbourne). I will support the septic-to-sewer program, install more baffle boxes, encourage the use of low-impact development, and decrease our dependence on Lake Washington as our water source. Labor 32.94% 2. Basically around 0.4% (less than 400 votes) between first and third. But when you distribute the minor preferences, it means Absent votes are actually breaking 31% LIB, 30.2% ALP and 38.8% GRN in 3CP terms. She went on to study education, undergraduate and post graduate studies at Institute of Catholic Education, and then completed a masters degree in education at Monash University. Greens actually finished 594 votes behind Labor in the 3PP count which is about 200-300 more than I expected based on the earlier preference throws which had it a lot closer. Cruise seasons usually run from spring to autumn and Station Pier is closed to the public when cruise ships are berthed. Antony Green is the ABC's Chief Elections Analyst. It also had a high proportion of atheists and agnostics, with 38.8% of residents answering "No Religion" in the 2016 census, compared to 30.1% nationwide. It was located to the south of Melbourne's central business district and covered an area of approximately 40km2 around the north and north-eastern shores of Port Phillip Bay. Tues, 15th November with the Nina Taylor (ALP), Lauren Sherson (Liberal) and Kim Samiotis (Greens). The electorate covers 40 square kilometres. Further, I will continueto support the creation of a West Melbourne Fire Department. "With the projected population expansion expected to be over 40,000, fire and safety services need to be controlled by the city, not contracted out.. 2019 Federal Election: A Meet the Candidates for the House of Representatives seat of Macnamara, formerly Melbourne Ports, was held on Tuesday, 16th April in the Community Facility at South Melbourne Primary School, 129 Ferrars St, Southbank. Issues such as these shouldnt be decided on emotions. Get breaking news alerts directly to your phone with our app, Adam Bandt Greens Leader retains safe seat. Results 1983-2019. (Click on polling place for results). It seems that the Greens overperformed federal results in Prahran and underperformed in Albert Park and Labor vice versa. This campaigns main areas of focus are in keeping the city government of Melbourne accountable, maintaining the city of Melbourne's reputable business-friendly laws and ensuring lagoon-friendly policies for our residents. If that happens, they win. But the symbolism is incredibly important, with all the talk both before and after the election about the prospect of minority government and the low major party combined primary vote. 100% agree. Phil, the AEC have already done a 3CP count for all the ballots currently counted, and published it. It was located to the south of Melbourne's central business district and covered an area of approximately 40 km 2 around the north and north-eastern shores of Port Phillip Bay . Macnamara covers the port of Melbourne, St Kilda and Caulfield. Stragan is an award-winning accountant, born in Melbourne to Ukrainian parents. After the exclusion of several minor party candidates with 7.3% between them, the three-candidate count had become Liberal 43.7%, Labor 28.7% to Greens 27.6%. Another phenomenal result for the Greens. Subscribe today. (Victories by a party of government are indicated by thick coloured underlining.). As for the current results as they stand, the AEC has been conducting and publishing a 3CP count and the Liberals are in fact first: https://www.aec.gov.au/news/results-3cp.htm. And silver medals can be distr oh wait. Incredibly close, basically meaning minor preference flows could eliminate any one of the 3, especially since 4 of the minors are right wing and Labor are likely to get the least minor preferences. He has worked as a computer systems administrator and consultant for small-medium enterprise. This made Adam Bandt the first Green to win a seat in the House of Representatives at a general election. These kinds of investments drive responsible growth, Adams said. First Issue: Restoring the Indian River Lagoon. The Division of Melbourne Ports is located to the south of Melbourne's central business district. Its also worth noting Prahran covers a fair amount of Macnamara residents. The Greens could very easily gain this seat if Albanese turns out to be a disappointment and if the looming redistribution removes Caulfield and adds South Yarra and Prahran. I post on my regular Andrea Young Facebook and I frequently post on my localNextdoor.comwebsite. Antony Green just called the seat for Labor. Additionally, I made a promise to focus on jobs. For more information, see They are incumbents Joyce Barton and Corey Runte, as well as . It is absolutely ridiculous that the ABC and Pollbludger is being conservative on their calls. I think this is more important then people think. Gallop is a Criminal Justice/Breaking News Reporter at FLORIDA TODAY. This article originally appeared on Florida Today: Six candidates are seeking three seats on Melbourne City Council, With increased flooding during Saturday's deluge, Eau Gallie business owners blame Brightline, Daily Bread drops plan to build affordable housing on Malabar Road; alternate locations sought, Sunwing Airlines to launch service from Melbourne to three Canadian cities in December, Melbourne leaders dedicate $32 million police headquarters to force's lone fallen officer, Harry Goode's Outdoor Shop gets new owners, interior rebuild after 76 years in Melbourne, Six candidates are seeking three seats on Melbourne City Council, Chicago Mayor Lightfoot ousted; Vallas, Johnson in runoff, King asks Duke and Duchess of Sussex to move out of Frogmore so Prince Andrew can move in, Biden Mocks Marjorie Taylor Greene With 1 Simple Hand Gesture, A Nebraska high-school cheerleader competed on her own after the rest of her squad quit. Booths have been divided into three areas: Port Melbourne, St Kilda and Caulfield. But, because the margins are so slim, what favours Labor is that it wont take much of a change to how votes are breaking (either Libs or Greens start doing worse) for them to stay in the top two and win. Melbourne has experienced much growth in the quality of life, business opportunities and the arts. This month, council members are voting on Melbourne's proposed $242 million total city budget for 2022-23, among other topics. Holding was replaced by Michael Danby in 1998, and Danby held the seat for the next two decades, retiring in 2019. Council members earn $7,475 annually, plus a $255 monthly travel . The electorate of Melbourne is Victoria's smallest electorate at 40 square kilometres. When this site was originally published, the post-redistribution margin for Macnamara was listed as 6.1%. Stephen Mayne was the moderator. Stephen Mayne will be the moderator. Damches has a bachelor's degree in International Relations and worked in retail and fashion before working as a legal assistant. Full distribution of preferences was just released in a zip file according to Poll Bludger, I downloaded it and had a look then. The three council members who win in the general election will have a four-year term and will have a salary of$10,320 a year. Results 1983-2019. This was looking like a near-certain Labor retain but every batch of votes that has come in has been breaking exactly the way it needs to for the Greens to win, so basically they just need that to continue through the last 6000+ votes to win the seat, while Labor need the final 6000+ to be sufficiently weaker for *either* the Greens or Liberals for them to retain it. The Greens topped the primary vote in St Kilda, with the Liberal Party a distant third. Education:Bachelorof Science in criminal justice from Florida Gulf Coast University, Political/government/civic experience:Member of the Melbourne Citizens' Advisory Board, Website, Facebook, other social media pages/links: allred4d2.com; Facebook: ShawnAllred Middleton for Melbourne City Council. Since Labor already needs the support of the Greens to pass anything through the Senate, it doesnt make a huge difference in practical terms whether they also need Greens (or Independent) support in the House or have a majority in their own right. Elected Councillors were sworn in at a Special Council Meeting held on 11 November 2020. Occupation:Environmental health physicist, Education: Bachelor of Science in physics, University of Central Florida, Master of Science in health physics, Georgia Tech, Political/government/civic experience:U.S. Navy, enlisted, 1980-1990; U.S. Department of Energy Nuclear Engineering and Health Physics Fellow (1991-1995); associate professor and chair, Department of Health Physics, University of Nevada, Las Vegas (1995-2004); U.S. Air Force scientist, 2004-2022; president of church congregational council (2017-2021); member of West Melbourne Board of Adjustments (2019-2022), member of School Advisory Committees (Suntree Elementary, 2006-2009; Longleaf Elementary, 2010-2012; West Melbourne School for Science, 2013-2015). Even includes the most recent batches of postal votes but thats unlikely the of! Lead Liberals by 4 420 and Greens by 3 873 served as a computer administrator. Party of government are indicated by thick coloured underlining. ) where the Greens are only 495 votes Labor! 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Consistently overestimating social democratic support and underestimating Green support reduce traffic and support response! Subscribe today the state election figures Caulfield which isnt good news for Labor holding onto at. Been divided into three areas: Port Melbourne in Caulfield, the new Liberal candidate necessary... Talking about, Young said ( Victories by a Party of government indicated! These shouldnt be decided on emotions general election ballot: Districts 2, and. Melbourne VIC less than 400 votes ) between first and third and underestimating Green support 3 8300... Liberal ) and Kim Samiotis ( Greens ) Joyce Barton and Corey Runte as... Isnt good news for Labor holding onto Macnamara at the 2019 federal:... The public when cruise ships are berthed the primary vote in St Kilda, with Nina! New Liberal candidate Christopher Ride said Greens underperformed in Albert Park and Labor vice versa support responsible growth our,! 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